Tuesday, July 5, 2022

Airspace closures a concern for the far East?

I got this from another email that showed up in my email at work and with Ukraine and Russia fighting and China is eyeballing Taiwan now that the world is distracted with Ukraine and we are in a position of weakness not seen in many years with that doddering meat puppet in the Whitehouse and we are sending a lot of munitions to help the Ukrainians and how much of that aid we are sending to Ukraine is actually being used or being siphoned off to help "The Big Guy" and there have been reports of our munitions that we are sending the Ukrainians are winding up in the black market rather than being expended on the Russians.  We are emptying out our munition stocks and there are no replacements because we shut down the manufacturing lines 10 years ago and dismantled, and we are trying to restart the new lines but the people that built the munitions are retired, and the newer weapons to build them quickly take time and the new chips are in China....what a mess. 


Bejing International Airport

DOHA, Qatar—The airline industry is currently not worried about any potential airspace closure over China, akin to that over Russia, according to IATA’s Director General. 

This is despite politicians around the Asia-Pacific region warning that the East could become the next Ukraine in the event of miscalculated moves.  

No airlines have raised concerns, IATA Director General Willie Walsh said at the recent IATA annual general meeting in Doha.

“We’d like to have as many airspace opportunities as possible but with various restrictions it is becoming more difficult to navigate the globe,” Walsh said. “But I am not aware of any potential threat in relation to Chinese airspace closure.” 

Walsh added that he hopes to see a peaceful resolution to the conflict in Ukraine.

“China has been excellent in the way they have modernized their systems over recent years,” Walsh said. “So, I’m a great admirer of what Chinese aviation has achieved sooner because the pace of growth there. The focus on safety, the improvements in efficiency, the aerospace usage has really been positive.”

“Hopefully, the politics will work out correctly so that there’s no hostility,” IATA regional VP Philip Goh said in a separate briefing. “But dealing with one [closure] is more than enough. We don’t wish to see another one.” 

At the high-level security summit IISS Shangri-La Dialogue in Singapore this June, numerous Asian and western leaders highlighted their concerns of a potential flashpoint over the Taiwan Straits. China has also reiterated that it will “fight all the way” to prevent a Taiwan independence. 

Although the impact of a Chinese airspace closure would be relatively minimal, flights to South Korea and Japan from the south would have to take a longer detour around the Taiwan island. Taiwan-based China Airlines will almost surely be grounded, especially if China conducted attacks on airports and enforced the territory’s air space with military aircraft. 

More ominously, the supply chain from the “world’s factory” will be cut, putting tremendous strain on the export of consumer, industrial, and high value goods.


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